Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.191750 0.218273 0.246740 0.279522 0.316181 0.355864 0.402024
2025-12-28 0.157288 0.192912 0.233705 0.283704 0.343153 0.411392 0.495452
2026-01-04 0.134378 0.175788 0.225914 0.290687 0.371759 0.469435 0.595531
2026-01-11 0.115193 0.159719 0.216366 0.293080 0.393522 0.519732 0.689372
2026-01-18 0.101410 0.148213 0.210483 0.298413 0.418206 0.574372 0.791753
2026-01-25 0.091298 0.140008 0.207504 0.306464 0.446154 0.634287 0.904349
2026-02-01 0.080277 0.128921 0.198991 0.305452 0.460822 0.676527 0.995128
2026-02-08 0.071014 0.119135 0.191030 0.303960 0.473947 0.716643 1.084600
2026-02-15 0.063212 0.110549 0.183761 0.302420 0.486264 0.755656 1.174063
2026-02-22 0.058383 0.106060 0.182160 0.309041 0.510796 0.813380 1.293531
2026-03-01 0.052786 0.099598 0.176688 0.308862 0.524451 0.855190 1.391069
2026-03-08 0.047958 0.093857 0.171748 0.308905 0.538094 0.897299 1.490813
2026-03-15 0.043553 0.088510 0.167186 0.309545 0.553326 0.943737 1.601633
2026-03-22 0.040286 0.084861 0.165177 0.314277 0.575529 1.002427 1.735078
2026-03-29 0.037794 0.082377 0.164959 0.322017 0.603204 1.071392 1.888685
2026-04-05 0.034856 0.078657 0.162094 0.324687 0.622135 1.126770 2.022700
2026-04-12 0.032618 0.076075 0.161079 0.330560 0.646937 1.193151 2.178247
2026-04-19 0.030930 0.074430 0.161673 0.339403 0.677511 1.270832 2.356609
2026-04-26 0.028311 0.070461 0.157294 0.338301 0.689631 1.316874 2.482530
2026-05-03 0.025905 0.066659 0.152868 0.336669 0.700492 1.361025 2.606994
2026-05-10 0.023734 0.063117 0.148620 0.334983 0.710990 1.404842 2.732680
2026-05-17 0.022543 0.061728 0.148782 0.342244 0.739171 1.482112 2.921872
2026-05-24 0.020837 0.058881 0.145507 0.342049 0.752534 1.532503 3.064211